Wednesday, June 14, 2006

Lieberman the Independent?

Reports are coming in on a fairly regular basis that Ned Lamont (D) is gaining on Joe Lieberman (D) ahead of Connecticut's August 8 primary. This Quinnipiac poll from June 8, for instance, shows Lieberman leading Lamont by about 15 points, which demonstrates a significant gain from where Lamont was just 6 weeks ago.

As a result, speculation is building that Lieberman may chose to pursue a run as an Independent if he fails to secure the Democratic nomination in August. This article from Breitbart discusses the situation.

It seems to me that Lieberman would probably win the election if he ran as an Independent. He'd lose the hardcore Democrats, but I think a good number of moderate and conservative voters would vote for him, believing that the Republican candidate didn't have a chance. The polling seems to support this idea as well.

It will be interesting to watch this situation develop over the two months until the Connecticut primary.

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