Thursday, July 20, 2006

Vacation

I'm off on vacation for the next week-plus, so anyone who wanders across this site once in awhile should stop back again after July 30, when there will be more posts. Until then, check out Marty Andrade's blog if you want to read something about politics or policy.

Tuesday's Oklahoma Primary

The only primary taking place while I'm on vacation next week is in Oklahoma, and there are a number of interesting races to deal with. Incidentally, I'll report the results when I'm back, although you can find all the information you could possibly want on the Green Papers.

Governor
Governor Brad Henry (D) faces Andrew Marr, Jr. in the Dem primary. Henry has a 67% approval rating as of mid-June, according to Survey USA. That's in a heavily Republican state. Oklahoma Dems would be completely insane to part ways with him now.

On the Republican side, there's a four way race. Congressman Ernest Istook is the leading candidate, and is joined by Jim Evanoff, Bob Sullivan Jr., and Jim Williamson. Expect Istook to win the primary, and then expect an interesting race between the popular Democratic incumbent and the more logical Republican.

Oklahoma CD 1
Congressman John Sullivan (R) has two primary opponents, Fran Moghaddam and Evelyn Rogers. However, Sullivan has raised well over half a million bucks, while the other two combined have raised about $8,000. Sullivan will cruise to victory, and will be facing Alan Gentges (D) in November.

Oklahoma CD 2
Congressman Dan Boren (D) is not opposed this year, but there is a battle on the Republican side to determine who will face him. Patrick Miller and Raymond Wickson are fighting to be his opponent in November.

Oklahoma CD 3
Congressman Frank Lucas (R) is unopposed, but there is a three way race to determine who his Democratic opponent will be. Sue Barton, John Harris III, and Gregory Wilson are all competing for the seat, and none seems to have raised much more than $10,000. Impossible to tell who will win the race.

Oklahoma CD 5
The race to determine who will succeed Congressman Ernest Istook (R) in this seat is all over the place, and looks a little like the California Gubernatorial runoff from a couple of years ago. Istook, in case you have a short memory, is running for Governor. On the Republican side, there are 6 (!) challengers, several of whom have raised some serious cash. Corporation Commissioner Denise Bode has raised well over a million bucks and has to be considered the front-runner. Lieutenant Governor Mary Fallin has also raised plenty of dough, at over $800,000. Also in the race are Kevin Calvey, Fred Morgan, Mick Cornett, and Johnny B. Roy.

Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, Paul Hunter, Jim Priest, and Bert Smith are competing. Hunter will probably win, as he's raised the most money by quite a bit. Unfortunately for Dems, he only has $200,000 raised. This is going to be a smack-down in November.

There ya have it...more info on this primary on July 30.

Tuesday, July 18, 2006

Georgia Primary Results

The results are in, and there is a little bit of intrigue. Without further ado...

Governor
Sonny Perdue win the Republican nomination going away, with over 88% of the vote. Guess being listed as Ray "States Rights" McBerry wasn't enough to get 'er done. Who would have figured?

On the other side of things, Mark Taylor picked up the Democratic nomination, barely avoiding a run-off by receiving 51.5% of the vote. But hey, just as a bloop single looks like a line-drive in the morning paper, Taylor will be the only guy on the ballot with a (D) by his name in the November gubernatorial election, so good for him. And good for the Georgia Dems for nominating a man with such a classy last name.

Georgia CD 4
Ah, yes. The Cynthia McKinney race. My, my, my, what have the Georgia Dems done? Mad Dog McKinney isn't done with this fight yet, as she received just under 47% of the vote tonight, and will have to face Hank Johnson, Jr. in an August 8 runoff. By the way, Johnson picked up 44.5% of the vote. This cannot be good news for McKinney . . . when the people of your district realize you're a bit of a loon, the campaign is in trouble. That said, there isn't a lot of time for Johnson to campaign, but my guess is that a lot of the people that voted for the third candidate in this race will go towards Johnson; they obviously didn't like something about McKinney in the first place. She could be in trouble.

Georgia CD 6
Congressman Tom Price (R) wins easily, with 82% of the vote, over challenger John Konop. He will face Democrat Steve Sinton in November.

Georgia CD 8
As expected, former Congressman Mac Collins (R) won his race over James Neal Harris by 82% to 18%. Collins will face Congressman Jim Marshall in November in what should be an interesting race.

Georgia CD 9
John Bradbury (D) won the right to face Congressman Nathan Deal (R) in November by beating Bob Longwith 69%-31%.

Georgia CD 13
Congressman David Scott (D) faced a surprisingly rigorous challenge from Donzella James, but still won his primary 65%-35%. He will face Deborah Honeycutt (R) in November.

Stem Cell Vote

So, it's official: by a vote of 63-37, the Senate has sent the stem-cell bill discussed below to the President, and it surely looks like it will be vetoed post-haste. I'm not going to talk about the implications of this vote, because I already did that once. In fact, I'm not going to say much at that's directly on point.

Instead, I'd like to talk about a the stated justification for the looming veto. In response to why Bush plans on vetoing this bill, Press Secretary Tony Snow said the following: "The President is not going to get on the slippery slope of taking something living and making it dead for the purposes of scientific research."

Alright, there are a couple of responses to this. First, and this is the least consequential point because it is merely semantics, I'd like to point out that testing on animals has been done for years by the government and private actors. Sometimes, they die. Completely aside from the question of whether this is morally right or not, this "slippery slope" was crossed long ago, and it hasn't led to testing on people who are mortally ill (at least, involuntary testing), nor in testing on prisoners, etc. Snow's point was obviously meant to be that the President isn't going to go down the slippery slope of taking a HUMAN that is alive and making it dead.

This leads to the second point of discussion, and that is whether a fertilized embryo that is a few days old can be considered human or not. There is no dispute by anyone, at least anyone sane, that a few-days-old embryo is alive, but does it deserve the protections that belong to humans? Or is it some kind of lesser being, a proto- or pre-human? Obviously, this is pretty much the same question that comes up in the abortion debate, and nothing I can say is going to somehow change people's minds on the issue. Nevertheless, this is clearly a point that needs to be discussed; it can't just be glossed over.

My problem with the position that opposes this is that it seems a bit logically inconsistent, and here's why. The embryos that would be used in this process are those that would be discarded in the invitro-fertilization process. When someone chooses to undergo IVF, several embryos are created, and only one is implanted. The rest are summarily destroyed. My understanding is that the creation of excess embryos is a necessary part of the IVF process. Yet, you don't see very many politicians coming out in favor of stopping the evils of IVF. Why is this? Isn't the creation and subsequent destruction of embryos just as insidious as abortion? Isn't this the kind of thing that the pro-life lobby is supposed to oppose?

Of course the answer is that while abortion is a crowd pleaser for a substantial portion of the electorate, opposing IVF would not be. Many people need IVF to have children, and too oppose that would be one of the most politically unpopular things that any politician could do. And yet, this results in a huge inconsistency in the position taken by these politicians.

Further, knowing that these embryos are going to be created and destroyed, isn't it worse to callously allow them to be destroyed (and thus serve no purpose) rather than be used in a way that could benefit society? Now, this is a very close ethical issue. I agree that if we were creating embryos solely for the purpose of experimenting on them, that would be wrong (unless you are a pure utilitarian, in which case you probably have no problem with this). But that isn't what is happening. These embryos are going to be created and destroyed. As it is now, they serve no purpose. Anti-stem cell groups, then, are arguing that it is better to create and destroy embryos for IVF than to create and utilize embryos created by the IVF process. That, to me, is terribly naive and illogical.

If folks on the anti-stem cell research side were anti-IVF, I could understand the position more clearly. I cannot understand accepting IVF and still being opposed to the constructive use of embryos that are to be destroyed. For me, the choice between destruction or utilization is clear.

Sunday, July 16, 2006

Surprising Minnesota Senate Poll

Ok, it's a poll conducted by the Star Tribune, so you have to knock off about 10 points from the Dem candidate to make it remotely accurate. Nevertheless, the poll shows Democrat Amy Klobuchar with a 50%-31% lead over Republican Mark Kennedy. Even factoring in the Trib's Dem-leaning methodology, these are sobering numbers for Representative Kennedy.

I've been saying for nearly two years that Kennedy was going to win this seat come November. First, I thought he'd be knocking out Mark Dayton, who would have been easy pickings. Then I suggested that no matter who the Dems put up to replace Dayton on the ticket, Kennedy would still win. I now have to reconsider.

If the Democrats easily retain this seat, then it's likely they will do very well elsewhere. The numbers aren't favorable, but this early poll may be the start of a national trend in favor of Democratic candidates that could lead to promising results for the Donkey on elections night. That is, if they don't shoot themselves in the foot first.